Prediction markets operate as federally regulated derivatives products with extensive
market integrity requirements and almost no consumer protection requirements. An operator
that satisfies every obligation currently imposed by federal derivatives law will still
fall short of the protections a participant would receive on a licensed sportsbook in
Ohio, New Jersey, Virginia, or Nevada. The PMCPS family addresses that gap with a
three-layer framework modeled on the regulatory structure the NIGC built for Class II
gaming.
PMCPS-C
Working Draft
Prediction Market Classification Standard
Determines which products are subject to the PMCPS family. The standard applies a
gates-based functional test that examines what a product does rather than how it is
licensed, so the outcome is independent of any jurisdictional determination.
PMCPS-M
Working Draft
Prediction Market Minimum Internal Control Standards
States what a covered operator must do. The standard sets requirements across participant
exclusion, financial limits, disclosure, problem gambling, age and identity verification,
market integrity, contract resolution, records, and audit.
PMCPS-T
Reserved
Prediction Market Technical Standards
Reserved pending CFTC final rulemaking. The identifier is held so that the technical
layer can be issued without renumbering the family once the rule is settled. A structural
outline exists and is available on request.
Outline available on request